A recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll indicates that former President Donald Trump has a slight advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris among early voters in key battleground states. The survey reveals that 48% of early voters in these pivotal areas are supporting Trump, compared to 47% for Harris, with about 5% selecting another option or indicating they have not yet voted.
Mark Penn, co-director of the poll, remarked that Trump’s strategy in swing states is effective, as he maintains a 2-point lead overall in these regions, with 48% support against Harris’s 46%.
Despite Trump’s lead in battleground states, the poll shows that Harris is performing strongly on a national level, outpacing Trump by 8 points among early voters, with 51% to 43%.
The survey also found that 45% of voters intend to cast their ballots early, while 50% plan to wait until Election Day.
Recent data indicates a tight race between the two candidates in all seven swing states. Nationally, an aggregate of polling by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ shows Harris holding a slight lead over Trump, 50% to 47%. Both candidates are concentrating their efforts on battleground states, which are expected to be crucial for the outcome of the November 5 election.
The Harvard/Harris poll, conducted from October 11 to 13, surveyed 3,145 registered voters, including 2,596 likely voters and 898 voters from battleground states. The margin of error for the overall sample is ± 1.8 percentage points.
